Spot Aluminum Prices Struggle to Break Through Supply-Demand Constraints; Trading in South China Aluminum Market Shows Divergence [SMM South China Spot Aluminum Daily Review]

Published: Dec 17, 2025 19:34

SMM December 17:

For aluminum ingots in South China, the average SMM A00 aluminum (Foshan) price on December 17 was 21,640 yuan/mt, up 120 yuan/mt on the day, at a discount of 215 yuan/mt against the front-month contract, widening by 5 yuan/mt from the previous day. A sharp decline in social inventory today supported suppliers to hold prices firm. However, driven by the core year-end need for destocking and cash flow, market willingness to sell remained strong, keeping circulation loose. Morning offers were mainly concentrated at -10 to 0 yuan/mt. Downstream rush to buy amid continuous price rise provided a floor, but the incomplete implementation of new long-term contracts dampened traders' purchase willingness, leading to weak initial transactions. Later, continued futures gains pushed offers to around +100 yuan/mt, prompting some buyers to replenish low-priced cargo, marginally improving transactions.

For aluminum billets in South China, on December 17, the processing fees for various specifications of SMM 6063 aluminum billets (Guangdong) were stable to lower. The average fee for Φ90/100 was 450 yuan/mt, while for Φ120 and above it was 400 yuan/mt, flat from the previous day , with price differences persisting in market quotes. A significant rise in the base price failed to spur downstream rush to buy amid continuous price rise. Enterprises prioritized securing low-priced cargo, resulting in limited overall demand. Subsequent offers were gradually lowered, leading to mixed transaction performance throughout the day, with processing fees lacking upward momentum.

Inventory side, on Wednesday, aluminum ingot and billet inventories in major consumption areas decreased by 10,500 mt and 2,000 mt WoW, respectively, with South China seeing destocking of 2,000 mt and 1,000 mt. Short term, the pullback in absolute prices supports sellers' willingness to hold prices firm, but weakening demand reduces downstream purchase willingness, and spot discounts are expected to fluctuate.

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
22 hours ago
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Read More
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Federal Reserve Governor Milan pointed out that it is necessary for the US Fed to cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points this year. At the same time, he is very much looking forward to the performance of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman. However, Richmond Fed President Barkin emphasized that monetary policy must remain cautious until inflation fully pulls back to the target level, thereby ensuring the stability of the labour market.
22 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
22 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Read More
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
All 11 Democratic members of the US Senate Banking Committee jointly sent a letter to the committee's chairman, Tim Scott, requesting that all nomination processes for the prospective Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, be postponed until the criminal investigation into current Fed Chairman Powell and other board members is concluded. However, Scott stated that Warsh's confirmation was a done deal.
22 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
22 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Read More
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
The US Fed has announced that it will maintain the capital levels of large banks unchanged during the upcoming stress test cycle (corresponding to the 2026 cycle). At the same time, the US Fed is planning multidimensional reforms to this annual test, aiming to enhance its transparency. The US Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision, Bowman, revealed that adjustments to the stress capital buffer requirements for large banks will be postponed until 2027. This move is intended to provide the US Fed with sufficient time to evaluate potential flaws that may be exposed in its testing models when assessing banks' financial conditions under simulated economic downturn scenarios.
22 hours ago